The National Risk Assessment 2024 Public Consultation

First published in 2014, the National Risk Assessment provides an opportunity to identify and discuss significant risks that may arise for Ireland over the short, medium and long term. The most recent National Risk Assessment 2023 was published in August 2023.

Since its inception, the National Risk Assessment has drawn attention, at an early stage, to the importance of phenomena such as the UK’s departure from the EU, housing shortages, as well as pandemics.

The National Risk Assessment aims to provide a systematic overview of strategic risks facing the country to serve as the basis for political and public discussion and deliberation about their implications.

Links to previous National Risk Assessment reports can be found here.

A public consultation is now being held to inform the next iteration of the National Risk Assessment.

Stakeholders and members of the public are asked to contribute their views as to:

• whether the existing strategic risks identified in 2023 still accurately represent the major risks facing the country in 2024,
• whether there are any significant risks that should be added, or
• whether any of the existing risks should be amended or do not warrant inclusion.

On conclusion of this consultation, all views received will be considered and a final set of risks will be prepared and published as the National Risk Assessment 2024 – Overview of Strategic Risks.

Consultation views can be returned through an online survey or by email to nra@taoiseach.gov.ie. The public consultation will be open until Friday the 17th of May 2024.

Please note that while information from submissions received is posted on gov.ie after the public consultation is completed, private individuals' information will not be shared. However, submissions will be subject to Freedom of Information and therefore may be disclosed to third parties.

The existing risks identified in the National Risk Assessment 2023 – Overview of Strategic Risks are:

Geopolitical risks

Disruption of multilateral system

Future direction of the European Union

Northern Ireland

Armed conflict, terrorism and hybrid threats

Economic risks

Fiscal Sustainability

Inflation and the transition to higher interest rates

Disruption to a secure and sustainable energy supply

Concentration in Ireland’s enterprise mix

Protectionism and deglobalisation

Capacity constraints and infrastructure deficits

Societal risks

Social cohesion

Housing

Migration and integration

Demographic change

Digital exclusion

Environmental risks

Climate Change

Biodiversity loss

Extreme weather events and other disasters

Pandemics

Antimicrobial resistance

Food safety and security

Technological risks

Data flows, storage and security

Disruptive technology

Cybersecurity

Chemical, Biological, Radiological and Nuclear Threats

Please find the public consultation document and the National Risk Assessment 2023 – Overview of Strategic Risks below for reference:

National Risk Assessment 2023